Insights

As the market begin the sell-off we have been anticipating, our systems are in re-calibration mode and are experiencing chop. Unfortunately no one can tell when these situations will arise, and it's not as easy as saying "why not just turn it off and wait" since that next trade could be the winner that erases the drawdown.

Soaring Pelican wrapped up a strong 2024, posting a 1.24% return for December, bringing the year's total to a solid 11.74%. While performance slowed in January, it remained positive with a 0.91% return. Since the significant sell-off in December, new volatility has entered the market...

November continued a trend of diminishing volatility which time and again has hindered intraday trading. The overnight component of our work was not able to offset as the month offered only one trend pullback. We made two entries, one was profitable and the other was exited for risk management reasons.

A Trump win was likely priced into the markets in the few weeks before election, we find it somewhat surprising to not see a "sell on the news" reaction. Of course there are numerous...

US markets are remarkably complacent ahead of the elections. Looking at polling and betting data on the election winner

While the markets have recently been tumultuous, Soaring Pelican programs continue to thrive due to the elevated volatility in the global markets. Volatility is a force that drives market participants to make emotional decisions, but it also impacts larger players who may have no choice but to alter their positions. When this occurs, opportunities arise for nimble traders.

Activity was relatively low in our programs during the month of June as volatility slowed on both the intraday and daily timeframes. A small pullback was enough to get the Overnight Advantage program involved, but for the most part it seemed that the stock market corrected sideways and absorbed selling pressure. Lately we have discussed with clients the opportunity to time their investment...

As the market reaches highs, we are watching the cycle of action/reaction closely. May was an excellent month for trading as volatility rose and new highs were tested. Currently that price movement has come to a pause, and this is a potential point of rejection. Investors are bullish and...

The S&P continues to show strength and resilience, even after a healthy pullback during the month of April. The US dollar, Gold, and Bitcoin have all performed well over the past few months, which is notable since these markets tend to have lower correlation. Essentially, making money in the stock market has been...

The S&P continued higher in March, and since the end of the month has begun a more meaningful pullback. We note that small cap stocks as represented by the Russell 2000 index have significantly underperformed throughout the recent rally. Energy stocks have been remarkably resilient while Real Estate stocks have been hit hard...

The S&P continues in bullish territory despite some structural and fundamental weakness. We note that in the short term, the Nasdaq has dropped its leadership role and is beginning to underperform the S&P. It is too early to call a top, as momentum is clearly to the upside. Nonetheless we believe...

The Rally that would not die! We'll admit it, we didn't think it would last this long, and it has exceeded our price targets. Technology had led the way until only recently, and small cap. stocks are lagging. The markets continue to be led by a relatively small number of issues, which means that breadth is weak in this move.